Wimbledon Tennis Betting Tips: Daily Best Bets
Our tennis expert, Andy Schooler, provides insights and the best bets for Friday’s action at Wimbledon.
Daily Tennis Betting Tips: Wimbledon
0.75pt Fabio Fognini to Beat Roberto Bautista Agut at 9/5 (General)
0.75pt Gael Monfils to Beat Grigor Dimitrov at 11/4 (Sky Bet, Paddy Power)
Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Fabio Fognini
Several matches in Friday’s order of play could see the favorites being seriously tested. Among these, the clash between Roberto Bautista Agut and Fabio Fognini stands out. While Roberto Bautista Agut (RBA) is rightly favored, Fognini presents a compelling case for an upset.
Head-to-Head Advantage
Fognini’s confidence is high after a solid win against top-10 player Casper Ruud. Despite Ruud’s lackluster grass-court record, the victory is significant. Moreover, Fognini has dominated their head-to-head encounters, winning nine of their twelve meetings. Although none of these wins came on grass, the psychological edge cannot be underestimated.
Playing Style and Form
Both players favor baseline rallies, which could play into Fognini’s strengths given his superior head-to-head record. While RBA has only been broken twice in his previous rounds, he has faced 19 break points, suggesting vulnerability. Fognini’s return game could exploit this weakness effectively.
Betting Insight
At 9/5, a small bet on Fognini is advisable given his historical success against Bautista Agut and his current form.
CLICK HERE to back Fognini to win with Sky Bet.
Grigor Dimitrov vs. Gael Monfils
Another intriguing match-up is between Grigor Dimitrov and Gael Monfils. Despite Monfils being the underdog at 11/4, his historical dominance over Dimitrov makes him a valuable pick.
Historical Dominance
Monfils leads their head-to-head 4-1, with Dimitrov’s sole win coming through a first-set retirement. More strikingly, Monfils has won 10 of the 11 completed sets, indicating a clear tactical advantage.
Current Form and Conditions
Monfils is coming off a straight-sets victory over Stan Wawrinka, where he maintained a strong serve. In contrast, Dimitrov endured a grueling five-set match against Jerry Shang the previous day, which could leave him fatigued.
Betting Insight
Given Monfils’ historical performance against Dimitrov and the current conditions favoring him, betting on Monfils at 11/4 offers excellent value.
Other Notable Matches
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Daniil Medvedev
Jan-Lennard Struff, who has a win over Medvedev on grass, could pose a significant challenge. Medvedev, known for his consistency, might find Struff’s aggressive playstyle difficult to handle on grass.
Alexander Bublik vs. Tommy Paul
Similarly, Alexander Bublik’s unpredictable and explosive game could trouble Tommy Paul. Paul has struggled to replicate his Queen’s Club success, making Bublik a potential upset candidate.
Strategic Betting Tips for Wimbledon
Analyzing Player Form
Evaluating recent performances is crucial. Players who have shown resilience and form in the previous rounds are often better picks. For instance, Fognini’s win over Casper Ruud indicates he is in good form.
Surface Suitability
Understanding which players excel on grass is essential. Grass courts favor players with strong serve and volley skills. Recognizing these players can provide an edge in betting.
Head-to-Head Records
Historical data between players can reveal psychological edges and tactical advantages. Fognini’s dominance over Bautista Agut and Monfils’ record against Dimitrov are prime examples.
Match Context / bet on wimbledon
Consider the match context, such as previous day’s match duration and fatigue. Dimitrov’s long match against Shang puts him at a disadvantage against the fresher Monfils.
Conclusion
Betting on Wimbledon requires a blend of analyzing form, surface suitability, head-to-head records, and match context. For Friday’s action, Fognini and Monfils present compelling cases for upsets based on these factors.